Fed plans to raise rates in effort to cool inflation
The Federal Reserve signaled Wednesday that it plans to begin raising its benchmark interest rate as soon as March, a key step in reversing its pandemic-era low-rate policies that have fueled hiring and growth but also escalated inflation.
With high inflation squeezing consumers and businesses and unemployment falling steadily, the Fed also said it would phase out its monthly bond purchases, which have been intended to lower longer-term rates, in March.
The central bank맥스카지노s actions are sure to make a wide range of borrowing 맥스카지노 from mortgages and credit cards to auto loans and corporate credit 맥스카지노 costlier over time. Those higher borrowing costs, in turn, could slow consumer spending and hiring. The gravest risk is that the Fed맥스카지노s abandonment of low rates could trigger another recession.
In after its latest policy meeting, the Fed it "expects it will soon be appropriate맥스카지노 to raise rates.
Though the statement didn't specifically mention March, half the Fed's policymakers have expressed a willingness to raise rates by then, including some members who have long favored low rates to support hiring.
By raising rates, the Fed will be betting that it can slow inflation without weakening the economy too much. Speaking at a news conference, Chair Jerome Powell expressed his view, as he has before, that controlling inflation is itself vital to a strong job market.
맥스카지노The best thing we can do to support continued labor market gains,맥스카지노 Powell said, 맥스카지노is to promote a long expansion, and that will require price stability.맥스카지노
맥스카지노I think there맥스카지노s quite a bit of room," he added, "to raise interest rates without threatening the labor market. This is by so many measures an historically tight labor market.맥스카지노
The Fed on Wednesday also set out principles it will follow once it decides to reduce its nearly $9 trillion in bond holdings, a sum that has more than doubled since the pandemic struck nearly two years ago. Some analysts expect the Fed to begin doing so as soon as July, a move that would contribute to tighter credit.
The central bank's latest policy statement follows dizzying gyrations in the stock market as investors have been gripped by fear and uncertainty over just how fast and far the Fed will go to reverse its low-rate policies, which have nurtured the economy and the markets for years. The broad S&P 500 index fell nearly 10% this month before rebounding slightly Wednesday.
Asked about the stock market's wild volatility, Powell stressed that the Fed맥스카지노s 맥스카지노ultimate focus맥스카지노 is on the 맥스카지노real economy.맥스카지노 But he added: 맥스카지노We feel like the communications we have with market participants and the general public are working. Monetary policy works significantly through expectations.맥스카지노
High inflation has become a serious political threat to President Joe Biden and congressional Democrats, with Republicans pointing to rising prices as one of their principal lines of attack as they look toward the November elections.
Yet Biden said last week that it was 맥스카지노appropriate맥스카지노 for Powell to adjust the Fed맥스카지노s policies. And congressional Republicans have endorsed Powell맥스카지노s plans to raise rates, providing the Fed with rare bipartisan support for tightening credit.
A reversal of the Fed's bond purchases would add to that tightening. The purchases have been intended to reduce longer-term interest rates to spur borrowing and spending. Many investors also saw the bond buying as helping fuel stock market gains by pouring cash into the financial system.
Earlier this month, minutes of the Fed맥스카지노s December meeting revealed that the central bank was considering reducing its bond holdings by not replacing bonds that mature 맥스카지노 a more aggressive step than merely ending its purchases. The impact of reducing the Fed맥스카지노s bond stockpile isn맥스카지노t well known. But the last time that the Fed raised rates and reduced its balance sheet simultaneously was in 2018. The S&P 500 stock index fell 20% in three months.
By not replacing some of its bond holdings, the Fed in effect reduces demand for Treasuries. This raises their yields and makes borrowing more expensive
Some analysts have said they aren맥스카지노t sure how big the impact on interest rates will be or how much the Fed will rely on reducing its balance sheet to affect interest rates.
All of which means the Powell Fed faces a delicate and even risky balancing act. If the stock market is engulfed by more chaotic declines, economists say, the Fed might decide to delay some of its credit-tightening plans. Modest drops in share prices, though, won맥스카지노t likely affect the Fed맥스카지노s thinking.
Some economists have expressed concern that the Fed is already moving too late to combat high inflation. Others say they worry that the Fed may act too aggressively. They argue that numerous rate hikes could unnecessarily slow hiring. In this view, high prices mostly reflect snarled supply chains that the Fed맥스카지노s rate hikes are powerless to cure.
This week맥스카지노s Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of not only high inflation 맥스카지노 consumer prices have surged 7% in the past year, the fastest pace in nearly four decades 맥스카지노 but also an economy gripped by another wave of COVID-19 infections.
Powell has acknowledged that he failed to foresee the persistence of high inflation, having long expressed the belief that it would prove temporary. The inflation spike has broadened to areas beyond those that were affected by supply shortages 맥스카지노 to apartment rents, for example 맥스카지노 which suggests it could endure even after goods and parts flow more freely.