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Inflation is slowing, but still high. What you need to know

Inflation is slowing, but still high. What you need to know
it looks like the U. S. Economy has given us all an early christmas gift this holiday season. As *** consumer price index has revealed inflation didn't go up quite as much as expected. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics metric, the index only rose 7.1% over the course of november below *** predicted 7.3%. That's down from *** 7.7% increase in october an eight point 2% in september this marks the fifth month in *** row of consumer price index percentages falling month *** month now at its lowest rate since december 2021. So what does this mean for prices? Well, it means likely *** little bit of savings all over. If you look at what it meant for all prices on all goods and services, you're likely looking at around *** 20210.1% increase over the month of november. In october prices rose Around .4%. But with regards to core CPI I or prices on things that don't include food and energy prices rose much more dramatically, increasing 6% and 6.3% in November and October respectively. The US is currently going through its worst period of inflation in decades. Federal regulators have raised interest rates six times recently in the hopes of bringing it back down
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Inflation is slowing, but still high. What you need to know
After reaching 40-year highs over the summer, price increases in the U.S. are now steadily easing.Consumer inflation slowed to 7.1% in November from a year earlier and to 0.1% from October, the government said Tuesday. Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, so-called core inflation rose 6% over the past 12 months and 0.2% from October.Though inflation is slowing, prices remain steep, especially for food and many services.Here's what you need to know:What's going on with inflation?In recent months, there맥스카지노s been a shift in inflation from goods to services.In general, that means prices for goods and gas are rising more slowly than prices for things like dining out, travel, health care, financial services and hospitality. Prices for used cars, furniture, and appliances have moderated.Food prices are an exception, driven by more expensive eggs, vegetables, and chicken.Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide, noted that core goods prices 맥스카지노 once you exclude food and energy 맥스카지노 have been slowing dramatically. But services prices, excluding energy, have stayed near a 40-year high.What is contributing to the slowing of inflation?Average gas prices have tumbled from $5 a gallon in June to as low as $3.26 a gallon, according to AAA, below their average a year ago.Supply chain snarls are also coming to an end. Ports have cleared ship backlogs. And the cost of shipping a cargo container from Asia has returned to its pre-pandemic price.The Federal Reserve맥스카지노s series of aggressive interest rate hikes have also created downward pressure on prices by making borrowing steadily more expensive.Why are services prices rising more than goods prices?Some of it is the ongoing shift from the pandemic era, when millions of Americans stayed away from restaurants, postponed vacations and stopped going to concerts or movie theaters. Now, as COVID-19 fades, people are making up for lost time by traveling and dining out again.At the same time, spending on goods like exercise bikes, furniture, and cars spiked during the pandemic but is now declining.Some economists point to rising wages as a primary cause of increasing service costs, as employers pass on the higher cost of labor to consumers.Others say companies have seen that consumers are willing to absorb increasingly higher prices in recent months. As costs for things like shipping have eased, corporations have not always passed those savings on to consumers.맥스카지노If companies don맥스카지노t feel the pressure and need to discount, they won맥스카지노t,맥스카지노 Bostjancic said. 맥스카지노They맥스카지노ve achieved some pricing power, and it맥스카지노s been good for the bottom line. They맥스카지노ve profited quite nicely, and they want to hold on to that pricing power as long as possible. As long as the consumer withstands those prices, they won맥스카지노t change that.맥스카지노What does all this mean for interest rates?In some ways, the Fed is better suited to combat goods inflation than services inflation. When people buy expensive items like appliances, cars, or furniture, they often borrow money to do so. A high interest rate increases the cost of borrowing, thereby slowing those purchases. The Fed has a less clear pathway to affecting the price of services.So while inflation in the goods sector is slowing, inflation in the services sector could prove more stubborn. As people spend down savings they built up during the pandemic, demand may slow. But until those savings are meaningfully depleted, or debt reaches unmanageable levels, spending may continue.That said, the Fed's benchmark short-term rate affects loan rates throughout the economy. The central bank has already weakened the housing market significantly with its tightened monetary policy.Chair Jerome Powell has made clear that the Fed will raise its key rate by a smaller increment when it meets Wednesday. Investors foresee a half-point Fed hike, after four straight three-quarter-point increases.Where does inflation go from here?Powell has suggested that housing costs, which have been a major driver of inflation, should start to slow next year 맥스카지노 including rent.And Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, suggested that the momentum behind inflation will continue to ease in 2023.맥스카지노We expect to see ongoing downward pressure on the goods front and energy-prices front in the next 12 months,맥스카지노 Daco said. 맥스카지노On the services side, we expect to see some abating pressures, with less demand for travel and leisure over time.맥스카지노Daco predicted there will be downward pressure on housing costs, too.So how low could inflation go?The Fed sets a target to keep annual inflation averaging around 2 percent. Before the pandemic struck, inflation was so persistently low that the central bank struggled to even raise it to 2%. (Too-low inflation can slow economic growth by causing people to delay purchases if they think they can buy a product for a lower price later.)Some economists are now suggesting that the Fed won't be able to get inflation down to 2% again anytime soon 맥스카지노 and might conclude instead that a somewhat higher inflation target is more realistic.If inflation is slowing, why does it still feel painful?Wages haven't kept up with prices, and lower-income households, which spend disproportionately more on housing, fuel and food, have been hit hardest.맥스카지노We맥스카지노re not equal in the face of inflation,맥스카지노 Daco said. 맥스카지노If anything, inflation tends to exacerbate inequalities.맥스카지노These factors can lead to a 맥스카지노K-shaped맥스카지노 recovery, in which the performance of different parts of the economy diverges like the arms of the letter 맥스카지노K.맥스카지노 In this scenario, some parts of the economy may experience strong growth while others continue to decline.맥스카지노There맥스카지노s a wealth effect,맥스카지노 said Nationwide맥스카지노s Bostjancic. 맥스카지노Upper- and middle-income households have more pandemic-related savings. They always have more of a buffer to withstand downturns than other income groups.맥스카지노Low- and middle-income households may have already exhausted their reserves, Bostjancic noted, and now lack the savings to cope with both higher prices and higher borrowing rates. 맥스카지노Even though they맥스카지노ve seen wage gains, it맥스카지노s lagged behind inflation,맥스카지노 she said. 맥스카지노So we맥스카지노ve seen more people turning to credit. We맥스카지노re not seeing outright delinquencies, but people are falling behind on payments, which indicates there맥스카지노s stress on the consumer.맥스카지노Is there still risk of a recession?Daco indicated that a recession is not looming large on the near horizon.맥스카지노We맥스카지노ve seen resilience both on the part of the U.S. consumer and business executives,맥스카지노 he said. 맥스카지노Companies haven맥스카지노t proceeded with broad-based layoffs. As of now, we맥스카지노re not in a recession, but we맥스카지노re seeing more hesitance and discretion when it comes to hiring and buying decisions.맥스카지노

After reaching 40-year highs over the summer, price increases in the U.S. are now steadily easing.

from a year earlier and to 0.1% from October, the government said Tuesday. Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, so-called core inflation rose 6% over the past 12 months and 0.2% from October.

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Though inflation is slowing, prices remain steep, especially for food and many services.

Here's what you need to know:

What's going on with inflation?

In recent months, there맥스카지노s been a shift in inflation from goods to services.

In general, that means prices for goods and gas are rising more slowly than prices for things like dining out, travel, health care, financial services and hospitality. Prices for used cars, furniture, and appliances have moderated.

Food prices are an exception, driven by more expensive eggs, vegetables, and chicken.

Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide, noted that core goods prices 맥스카지노 once you exclude food and energy 맥스카지노 have been slowing dramatically. But services prices, excluding energy, have stayed near a 40-year high.

What is contributing to the slowing of inflation?

Average gas prices have tumbled from $5 a gallon in June to as low as $3.26 a gallon, according to AAA, below their average a year ago.

Supply chain snarls are . Ports have cleared ship backlogs. And the cost of shipping a cargo container from Asia has returned to its pre-pandemic price.

The Federal Reserve맥스카지노s series of aggressive interest rate hikes have also created downward pressure on prices by making borrowing steadily more expensive.

Why are services prices rising more than goods prices?

Some of it is the ongoing shift from the pandemic era, when millions of Americans stayed away from restaurants, postponed vacations and stopped going to concerts or movie theaters. Now, as COVID-19 fades, people are making up for lost time by traveling and dining out again.

At the same time, spending on goods like exercise bikes, furniture, and cars spiked during the pandemic but is now declining.

Some economists point to rising wages as a primary cause of increasing service costs, as employers pass on the higher cost of labor to consumers.

Others say companies have seen that consumers are willing to absorb increasingly higher prices in recent months. As costs for things like shipping have eased, corporations have not always passed those savings on to consumers.

맥스카지노If companies don맥스카지노t feel the pressure and need to discount, they won맥스카지노t,맥스카지노 Bostjancic said. 맥스카지노They맥스카지노ve achieved some pricing power, and it맥스카지노s been good for the bottom line. They맥스카지노ve profited quite nicely, and they want to hold on to that pricing power as long as possible. As long as the consumer withstands those prices, they won맥스카지노t change that.맥스카지노

What does all this mean for interest rates?

In some ways, the Fed is better suited to combat goods inflation than services inflation. When people buy expensive items like appliances, cars, or furniture, they often borrow money to do so. A high interest rate increases the cost of borrowing, thereby slowing those purchases. The Fed has a less clear pathway to affecting the price of services.

So while inflation in the goods sector is slowing, inflation in the services sector could prove more stubborn. As people spend down savings they built up during the pandemic, demand may slow. But until those savings are meaningfully depleted, or debt reaches unmanageable levels, spending may continue.

That said, the Fed's benchmark short-term rate affects loan rates throughout the economy. The central bank has already weakened the housing market significantly with its tightened monetary policy.

Chair Jerome Powell has made clear that the Fed will raise its key rate by a smaller increment when it meets Wednesday. Investors foresee a half-point Fed hike, after four straight three-quarter-point increases.

Where does inflation go from here?

Powell has suggested that housing costs, which have been a major driver of inflation, should start to slow next year 맥스카지노 including rent.

And Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, suggested that the momentum behind inflation will continue to ease in 2023.

맥스카지노We expect to see ongoing downward pressure on the goods front and energy-prices front in the next 12 months,맥스카지노 Daco said. 맥스카지노On the services side, we expect to see some abating pressures, with less demand for travel and leisure over time.맥스카지노

Daco predicted there will be downward pressure on housing costs, too.

So how low could inflation go?

The Fed sets a target to keep annual inflation averaging around 2 percent. Before the pandemic struck, inflation was so persistently low that the central bank struggled to even raise it to 2%. (Too-low inflation can slow economic growth by causing people to delay purchases if they think they can buy a product for a lower price later.)

Some economists are now suggesting that the Fed won't be able to get inflation down to 2% again anytime soon 맥스카지노 and might conclude instead that a somewhat higher inflation target is more realistic.

If inflation is slowing, why does it still feel painful?

Wages haven't kept up with prices, and lower-income households, which spend disproportionately more on housing, fuel and food, have been hit hardest.

맥스카지노We맥스카지노re not equal in the face of inflation,맥스카지노 Daco said. 맥스카지노If anything, inflation tends to exacerbate inequalities.맥스카지노

These factors can lead to a 맥스카지노K-shaped맥스카지노 recovery, in which the performance of different parts of the economy diverges like the arms of the letter 맥스카지노K.맥스카지노 In this scenario, some parts of the economy may experience strong growth while others continue to decline.

맥스카지노There맥스카지노s a wealth effect,맥스카지노 said Nationwide맥스카지노s Bostjancic. 맥스카지노Upper- and middle-income households have more pandemic-related savings. They always have more of a buffer to withstand downturns than other income groups.맥스카지노

Low- and middle-income households may have already exhausted their reserves, Bostjancic noted, and now lack the savings to cope with both higher prices and higher borrowing rates.

맥스카지노Even though they맥스카지노ve seen wage gains, it맥스카지노s lagged behind inflation,맥스카지노 she said. 맥스카지노So we맥스카지노ve seen more people turning to credit. We맥스카지노re not seeing outright delinquencies, but people are falling behind on payments, which indicates there맥스카지노s stress on the consumer.맥스카지노

Is there still risk of a recession?

Daco indicated that a recession is not looming large on the near horizon.

맥스카지노We맥스카지노ve seen resilience both on the part of the U.S. consumer and business executives,맥스카지노 he said. 맥스카지노Companies haven맥스카지노t proceeded with broad-based layoffs. As of now, we맥스카지노re not in a recession, but we맥스카지노re seeing more hesitance and discretion when it comes to hiring and buying decisions.맥스카지노