Here's how Trump's pause on military aid could affect Ukraine's defenses
The U.S. has been Ukraine맥스카지노s biggest military backer since Russia맥스카지노s full-scale invasion began three years ago. The suspension of that aid by the Trump administration doesn맥스카지노t mean Ukraine맥스카지노s defenses will quickly collapse.
But it's a major blow that threatens to remove some of the most formidable weapons in Ukraine맥스카지노s battlefield arsenal, and ratchets up pressure on Kyiv to accept a peace agreement.
Here맥스카지노s a look at the decision and its implications.
How much of Ukraine맥스카지노s aid comes from the US?
The United States has given the Ukrainians more than $180 billion in assistance since Russia launched an all-out war on Feb. 24, 2022, including more than $66.5 billion in military aid.
Washington provides about 20% of Ukraine맥스카지노s military supplies, and that fifth includes the most lethal and important equipment, including longer-range missiles and Patriot air defense systems that can shoot down the most powerful Russian projectiles.
American military assistance also goes far beyond weapons and ammunition.
Ukrainian troops rely on satellite communications systems supplied by Elon Musk맥스카지노s Starlink to communicate on the front line, and on American intelligence to track Russian troop movements and select targets for Ukrainian strikes. If the U.S. stops sharing data from satellites and other assets, it would badly affect Ukraine맥스카지노s capability to strike back at Russia, and Ukraine맥스카지노s other allies lack the resources to fill the gap.
맥스카지노A lot will depend on what맥스카지노s covered by the American suspension,맥스카지노 said Malcolm Chalmers, deputy director-general of defense think-tank RUSI. 맥스카지노Will they suspend all technical assistance to Ukraine? That would have a more dramatic, more rapid impact than simply stopping the pipeline of arms.맥스카지노
Why has Trump cut it off?
The White House said that the U.S. is 맥스카지노pausing and reviewing맥스카지노 its Ukraine aid to 맥스카지노ensure that it is contributing to a solution.맥스카지노 The order will remain in effect until Trump determines that Ukraine has demonstrated a commitment to peace negotiations with Russia.
The decision comes days after with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, in which Trump and U.S. Vice President JD Vance said that Ukraine맥스카지노s leader hasn't expressed sufficient gratitude for American support.
Video below: What맥스카지노s next for peace talks after Trump-Zelenskyy clash
How will it change the battlefield?
The U.S. move won맥스카지노t have an immediate impact on the battlefield, where Kyiv맥스카지노s forces are struggling to stem a relentless Russian offensive in eastern Ukraine. Ukrainian forces have slowed Russian advances along the roughly 1,000-kilometer (600-mile) front line, where Russia is slowly gaining ground at a huge human and material cost.
The pause in aid will weaken air defenses and will hit Ukraine맥스카지노s ability to hit Russian targets far behind the front lines.
Alexander Kots, a Russian war blogger, said that for Ukraine, 맥스카지노the U.S. aid suspension is unpleasant but not deadly.맥스카지노
He said that while Ukraine맥스카지노s European allies can fill some of the gaps and provide artillery systems, they don맥스카지노t have alternatives to the U.S.-made air-defense systems and longer-range HIMARS missile systems that can strike ground targets up to 300 kilometers (200 miles) away.
Ukraine is already running low on missiles for the American-supplied Patriot systems that are crucial to defending cities from Russian air attacks, according to Patrick Bury, a warfare expert at the U.K.'s University of Bath.
맥스카지노The problem is, a lot of what the U.S. provides is the stuff that Europe cannot, and other countries cannot, provide in the short term 맥스카지노 high-end stuff," he said.
Ukraine has stockpiles of artillery shells and other munitions, and has ramped up domestic production of drones, which are now among the most important weapons in the war. It맥스카지노s estimated that just over half of the military hardware used by Ukraine is domestically produced.
Chalmers, the RUSI expert, said that the Ukrainians have built up their defense production, and 맥스카지노are innovating at an incredible rate because of the pressure they맥스카지노re under.맥스카지노
맥스카지노I think they will survive for quite some time,맥스카지노 he said. 맥스카지노But it맥스카지노s a material blow, and it맥스카지노s also a challenge to Europe.맥스카지노
Can Ukraine맥스카지노s other allies step up?
A summit in London on Sunday was aimed at getting European leaders to step up and put Ukraine in the best possible position before potential peace talks.
The U.K. announced that it would use 1.6 billion pounds ($2 billion) in export financing to supply 5,000 air defense missiles. The European Union has proposed an 800 billion-euro ($841 billion) plan to bolster the defenses of EU nations and provide Ukraine with military muscle.
But Samir Puri, director of the Center for Global Governance and Security at international affairs think tank Chatham House, said that European and American aid are intertwined.
맥스카지노This was always a joint effort,맥스카지노 he said. 맥스카지노The U.S. gives a lot, the Europeans give a lot. You take away the Americans from that joint effort and 맥스카지노 there맥스카지노s just a huge component missing to the structure.맥스카지노